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The available China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings Limited estimates point to a loss in 2026 followed by a return to profit in 2027 and higher earnings in 2028. That outlook is now under pressure: the company’s nine-month 2026 filing reported sharply lower turnover, a substantial attributable loss and a much thinner gross margin. The estimates are therefore a dated analyst reference, not current management guidance. For readers searching DUS:C44, the underlying company’s official filings identify its Hong Kong main-board listing as stock code 1313.
What are the China Resources Building Materials estimates?
They are third-party earnings and revenue projections for China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings Limited, the China Resources Group holding company for cement, concrete and aggregates operations. The company’s 2025 sustainability reporting also describes engineered stones within the wider business scope. Its 2026 interim report says it was incorporated in the Cayman Islands, had 6,982,937,817 issued shares, and was approximately 68.72% owned by China Resources Group.
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1Repair Windows errors before they cause bigger problems2Scan for outdated or missing drivers - takes under a minute3Clear out junk files and repair common Windows errorsThe latest detailed consensus snapshot located was published by Simply Wall St on 11 March 2026. It predates the company’s 23 October 2026 nine-month filing, so it should be read as a dated reference rather than an up-to-date forecast. MarketScreener also publishes semiannual rows for sales, EBIT, earnings before tax and net income, but those rows are an aggregator’s estimates, not audited results or company guidance.
What did the company actually report for the first nine months of 2026?
The 23 October 2026 HKEX filing shows a pronounced deterioration from the 2025 comparison period.
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| Measure | Nine months 2026 | Comparison or change |
|---|---|---|
| Turnover | RMB12,825.0 million | RMB15,069.6 million previously; down 14.9% |
| Profit/(loss) attributable to owners | RMB(796.2) million | RMB331.0 million profit previously |
| Basic EPS | RMB(0.114) | Negative because the period produced a loss |
| Gross profit | RMB973.2 million | Down 61.8% |
| Gross margin | 7.6% | 16.9% previously |
| Total assets at 30 September | RMB69,988.0 million | Point-in-time balance-sheet figure |
| Equity attributable to owners | RMB43,550.3 million | Point-in-time balance-sheet figure |
| Gearing at 30 September | 33.2% | 30.7% at 2025 year-end |
Before the filing, the board’s 12 October 2026 warning said the nine-month attributable loss was expected to be approximately RMB750 million to RMB850 million. That announcement was preliminary and unaudited; the subsequently reported RMB796.2 million loss fell within the warned range.
Why did China Resources Building Materials earnings fall in 2026?
The company identified a price-and-cost squeeze rather than a single volume collapse. Selling prices for cement, concrete and aggregates declined, while cement unit costs rose as coal prices continued to increase. Management said value-chain cost reductions were not enough to absorb those pressures: “The contribution from cost reduction measures was not able to offset the impact of decreases in selling prices and increase in coal price, resulting in decreases in consolidated gross profit and consolidated gross margin.”
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Outbyte PC Repair FREEClear out junk files and repair common Windows errorsFree Scan →Outbyte Driver Updater FREEScan for outdated or missing drivers - takes under a minuteDriver Scan →The margin data show where the damage appeared. Cement remained the most pressured major segment, while all three businesses recorded lower margins than a year earlier.
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| Segment | 2026 nine-month gross margin | Prior-year margin |
|---|---|---|
| Cement | 4.8% | 17.1% |
| Concrete | 11.8% | 14.7% |
| Aggregates | 13.5% | 25.4% |
How do the dated estimates compare with the reported results?
The Simply Wall St consensus table, last updated 11 March 2026, projected a loss for 2026 and positive earnings in the following two years.
| Year | Revenue estimate (CNY million) | Earnings estimate (CNY million) | Analysts shown |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20,346 | -321 | 11 |
| 2027 | 20,837 | 636 | 11 |
| 2028 | 20,972 | 746 | 7 |
The same snapshot displayed forward earnings growth of 38.7% per year and revenue growth of 2.2% per year. Those rates describe the model available at that date; they do not incorporate the October nine-month actuals unless the provider later revises the page. The reported nine-month loss is already more than twice the consensus full-year loss shown in that old table, although the periods are not directly comparable because the filing covers nine months and the estimate covers the full year. A refreshed consensus is needed before treating the 2027 recovery as the market’s current view.
What do volumes and selling prices reveal about the business?
The filing’s nine-month product data show that cement is the largest turnover contributor, with concrete and aggregates also material. Average prices are reported below; they are not forecasts.
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| Product | Turnover (RMB million) | Volume | Average selling price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cement products | 7,597.278 | 36.984 million tonnes | RMB205.4 per tonne |
| Concrete | 3,046.299 | 12.978 million cubic metres | RMB234.7 per cubic metre |
| Aggregates | 1,565.023 | 53.155 million tonnes | RMB29.4 per tonne |
| Other | 616.424 | Not stated | Not stated |
Because the company specifically attributes the decline to selling prices and coal costs, future estimates should be stress-tested against both variables rather than judged from volumes alone. A volume increase would not automatically restore profit if prices remain weak or fuel costs rise.
Is a return to profit in 2027 still credible?
The dated consensus makes that recovery case, with estimated earnings of CNY636 million in 2027 after a CNY321 million loss in 2026, followed by CNY746 million in 2028. The case requires a reversal in the conditions disclosed in the filing: firmer cement, concrete and aggregate prices, containment of coal costs, or enough additional efficiency to rebuild gross margin.
It is not a company promise. The 2026 nine-month filing arrived after the consensus update and shows a 7.6% group gross margin, so investors should treat the 2027 number as a scenario that needs confirmation in later results and in a newly dated analyst survey.
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What is the 2025 baseline for assessing the downturn?
For the year ended 31 December 2025, the company reported turnover of RMB21,054.8 million, down 8.6% from 2024, and profit attributable to owners of RMB479.4 million, up 127.3%. Basic EPS was RMB0.069. The board proposed a final dividend of HK$0.024 per share, subject to shareholder approval.
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That profitable baseline matters when interpreting the 2026 loss: the latest result is a sharp cyclical reversal, not evidence that the company has permanently exited its core businesses. Whether dividend capacity is maintained, reduced or suspended depends on the board’s policy, cash generation and the eventual full-year position; the nine-month filing alone does not establish a future payout.
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.Which indicators should investors monitor next?
- Realized selling prices: compare cement, concrete and aggregate prices with the levels reported for the nine-month period.
- Coal and other input costs: watch whether cement unit costs stabilize enough for cost-cutting to improve margins.
- Segment gross margins: a recovery should appear in cement first, while concrete and aggregates need to regain their lost margin.
- Full-year 2026 results: these will replace the preliminary warning and nine-month view with a complete annual result.
- Leverage and liquidity: gearing was 33.2% at 30 September, up from 30.7% at 2025 year-end; changes in debt, cash and current liabilities will affect resilience.
- Consensus revisions: compare any new 2027-2028 estimates with the dated March snapshot rather than assuming the old recovery path remains unchanged.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the negative basic EPS of RMB(0.114) mean?
It means the nine-month loss attributable to ordinary shareholders translated into a loss of RMB0.114 per basic share for that reporting period. It is an accounting-period measure, not a prediction of the next quarter’s share price.
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Is the 2027 earnings estimate official company guidance?
No. The CNY636 million 2027 figure comes from an analyst-consensus table published before the October 2026 results. Management’s filing explains operating pressures but does not provide a 2027 profit target.
When will a complete 2026 annual result replace the nine-month figures?
The supplied filings do not state a publication date for the audited full-year 2026 report. Investors should use the company’s HKEX announcements for the eventual results release rather than infer a date from the October warning.
How should I interpret the 33.2% gearing figure?
It is the gearing percentage reported by the company at 30 September 2026, allowing comparison with its 30.7% year-end figure. The filing summary does not specify the exact formula here, so it should not be reverse-engineered into a different debt ratio without the full accounts.
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