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Repair Windows errors before they cause bigger problemsFix Now →Scan for outdated or missing drivers - takes under a minuteDriver Scan →Not in every sense. U.S.-headquartered semiconductor companies still lead by sales, but the share of global chipmaking capacity located in the United States fell sharply over several decades. The distinction matters: a company can be American and sell chips worldwide while manufacturing them elsewhere. Whether the United States rebuilds its domestic production base depends on announced projects becoming operating fabs—and on the industry’s ability to compete for workers, investment and customers.
Is the U.S. losing chip leadership?
The answer depends on what “dominance” means. Semiconductor leadership can refer to the headquarters of companies earning chip revenue, the technology and design they develop, or the physical location of the factories that produce chips. Those measures do not move together.
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| Measure | What the figures show | What they do not show |
|---|---|---|
| Sales by company headquarters | U.S.-headquartered firms accounted for 50.4% of global semiconductor sales revenue in 2024, according to the Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA), drawing on WSTS, Gartner, Omdia and SIA estimates. | It is not the share of chips made in U.S. factories. |
| Location of all chipmaking capacity | The U.S. share of global semiconductor manufacturing capacity declined from 37% in 1990 to 10% in 2022, according to SIA. | It does not measure U.S. companies’ sales or the location of their design and research work. |
| Advanced-logic capacity forecast | A Boston Consulting Group (BCG) forecast projected the U.S. share of worldwide capacity for chips below 10 nm to rise from nearly zero in 2022 to 28% in 2032. | It applies to that advanced-logic segment, not to every type of semiconductor, and is a forecast rather than a measured outcome. |
The sales figure reflects the commercial strength of U.S.-headquartered firms, while the manufacturing figures describe where production capacity sits. SIA also says U.S. firms remain leading or highly competitive in research and development, design and manufacturing-process technology. That technical position helps explain why a smaller domestic production footprint does not, by itself, mean U.S. companies have lost their place in the industry.
What share of the world’s chips are made in the U.S.?
The cited figure is 10% of global chip manufacturing capacity in 2022—not 10% of all chips sold, and not a verified measurement of U.S. production in 2026. Capacity describes the ability to produce; it is not the same as actual output in a given period. Nor does that figure say how much of the production belongs to U.S.-headquartered companies.
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The longer-term shift is significant: the U.S. went from holding more than a third of global capacity in 1990 to one-tenth in 2022. That loss of manufacturing share can make supply chains more geographically concentrated and leave the United States more reliant on production abroad, even while U.S. firms remain commercially powerful.
What could change by 2032?
More U.S. fab capacity is planned, not yet guaranteed
SIA’s 2025 State of the Industry report says more than 100 U.S. chip projects had been announced across 28 states, representing over half a trillion dollars in private investment. SIA says the projects are expected to support more than 500,000 jobs and help triple U.S. chipmaking capacity by 2032. These are announced investments and projected effects, not a count of completed factories or capacity already in production. The sources cited here do not establish the 2026 construction or completion status of individual projects.
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The all-fab forecast is a modest share gain from a low base
A 2024 SIA report summarizing an SIA-BCG outlook projected U.S. manufacturing capacity to more than triple between 2022 and 2032. Even with that growth, the U.S. share of global fab capacity was forecast to rise from 10% to 14%. The same outlook estimated $646 billion in U.S. semiconductor capital expenditure over 2024–2032 and projected the United States would account for 28% of worldwide semiconductor capital expenditure during that interval. These are modelled expectations, not final spending totals or established future market shares.
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For chips below 10 nm, BCG’s 2024 study projected the U.S. share of global capacity to reach 28% by 2032, up from nearly zero in 2022. That does not conflict with the 14% all-fab forecast: the former concerns a narrower, advanced-logic category, while the latter covers fab capacity more broadly. Neither forecast means the U.S. will produce 28% of every kind of chip.
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BCG also describes assembly, testing and packaging capacity as likely to diversify away from its concentration in Mainland China and Taiwan toward other regions. That is a projected supply-chain shift, not evidence that those stages have already moved to the United States.
What could prevent the U.S. from rebuilding its manufacturing base?
Workforce availability
SIA’s 2024 report cited a 2023 SIA-Oxford Economics study that forecast a shortage of 67,000 U.S. semiconductor technicians, computer scientists and engineers by 2030. This is a projected shortfall, not a current headcount of unfilled jobs. The same report cited a separate forecast of a 1.4 million-worker STEM gap across the broader U.S. economy; that much larger number is not specific to semiconductors.
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Fab construction alone cannot solve a skills gap. New facilities need people with the technical training to install, operate and maintain complex equipment, as well as engineers and researchers to develop processes and products. If hiring and training lag behind construction, the industry may struggle to turn planned capacity into productive operations.
Cost and execution
Announcements and investment plans do not prove that new capacity will be built on schedule or operate at competitive cost. A factory’s contribution depends on successful execution and the ability to attract customers in a global market. SIA identifies manufacturing competitiveness and remaining cost-competitive as priorities; the association represents the industry, so those priorities are its policy position rather than independent proof that any particular measure will work.
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Policy and access to markets
SIA’s 2024 report identifies ongoing CHIPS Act implementation, research and design, workforce development, and access to overseas markets as policy issues. These concerns reflect the industry’s view of what will affect U.S. competitiveness. The available figures do not establish how much any single policy will change future production or sales.
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.What do the latest sales figures say?
SIA’s Industry Impact page gives a later-year summary of $425 billion in U.S. semiconductor industry sales and a 53.4% global market share for 2025. That summary does not support treating the phrase “U.S. chip dominance will disappear” as a settled forecast of declining sales leadership. It should not be read as a directly comparable year-to-year change from the 2024 report without accounting for the reporting-year change and any differences in methodology.
Sales leadership and factory location can diverge: U.S.-headquartered companies can gain revenue while the U.S. share of global production remains much smaller. To assess whether the country is losing overall chip leadership, readers should track sales, technical capabilities and manufacturing capacity separately rather than treating one as a substitute for the others.
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The evidence supports a narrower conclusion: U.S. manufacturing leadership has eroded, and rebuilding it is not assured. U.S.-headquartered firms remain strong by sales, and forecasts point to possible gains in domestic capacity—especially in advanced logic—but those gains depend on investment plans becoming productive facilities, an available workforce and competitive operations. The United States could strengthen its manufacturing position without holding the same share of every chipmaking segment, and sales leadership could persist even if domestic capacity grows more slowly than expected.
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