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BMO Reiterates Outperform on Sherwin-Williams With $405 Target

BMO’s September 28, 2026 report kept Sherwin-Williams at Outperform with a $405 target, following a July increase from $400. Here’s what the company’s results and outlook do—and do not—show.
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BMO Capital Markets reiterated its Outperform rating on Sherwin-Williams with a $405 price target on September 28, 2026, according to Investing.com. The target had previously been raised from $400 to $405 on July 29; the September report describes a reaffirmation, not another increase. A price target is an analyst estimate, not a guaranteed future share price.

What BMO reported—and when

The July 29, 2026 report from TheFly, carried by TipRanks, said BMO analyst John McNulty raised the target to $405 from $400 and maintained Outperform after Sherwin-Williams delivered what the report described as a beat and raise. It summarized McNulty’s view as positive on the company’s performance amid a soft macroeconomic and housing market. TipRanks/TheFly report

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On September 28, Investing.com reported that BMO reiterated Outperform and kept the target at $405 after attending Sherwin-Williams’ investor day. The report cited continued realization of a September price increase and margin improvement in Consumer Brands and Protective and Marine Coatings as points in BMO’s view. It did not announce a further target increase. Investing.com report

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Sherwin-Williams lists BMO Capital Markets and John McNulty among the analysts covering the company. Company analyst coverage The underlying BMO research note and valuation model are not available in the cited reports, so the target’s assumptions and methodology cannot be independently assessed here.

How the target compares with Sherwin-Williams’ business outlook

The company’s July 28, 2026 second-quarter release reported consolidated net sales of $6.79 billion, up 7.5% year over year. Diluted earnings per share were $3.43, up 14.3%; adjusted diluted EPS was $3.70, up 9.5%. These are reported results, not forecasts. Sherwin-Williams second-quarter 2026 results

In Paint Stores Group, second-quarter sales rose 5.1%, same-store sales increased 4.2%, and segment profit increased 4.5%, according to the company. Management said sales gains reflected price increases and low-single-digit volume growth; higher raw-material costs and sales-support investments partly offset segment-profit growth. Sherwin-Williams segment results

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Sherwin-Williams’ full-year 2026 guidance was $10.92–$11.32 diluted EPS and $11.80–$12.20 adjusted diluted EPS. These are company guidance ranges, not realized results. For historical context, its 2025 Form 10-K reports full-year net sales of $23.574 billion, diluted EPS of $10.26, and adjusted diluted EPS of $11.43. Annual reports and proxy materials

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What could support—or challenge—the bullish view

Reported potential supports

  • BMO’s September report pointed to continued realization of the September price increase and margin improvement in Consumer Brands and Protective and Marine Coatings.
  • Sherwin-Williams announced an 8% Paint Stores Group price increase effective September 1, 2026, in response to broad-based cost inflation. The announcement describes intended pricing action; it does not establish how much of the increase was realized or what effect it will have on margins. Company results and pricing announcement
  • The company’s second-quarter sales and EPS grew year over year, while full-year guidance projected higher EPS ranges than the reported 2025 figures.

Risks and qualifications

  • Management said demand remained soft and that customer sentiment and leading indicators pointed to continued softness in the second half of 2026.
  • The company cited broad cost inflation in raw materials, energy, logistics, and packaging. It also said higher raw-material costs and sales-support investments were already weighing against Paint Stores Group profit growth.
  • A price increase does not guarantee that customers will accept higher prices, that volume will hold, or that margins will improve. Those outcomes depend on realized pricing, costs, and demand.

These demand and cost conditions are Sherwin-Williams’ own description of its operating environment, not an independent forecast. The company’s CEO, Heidi G. Petz, said the second-quarter results reflected its customer focus and actions to grow share and manage costs; that statement is management’s characterization, not independent confirmation of BMO’s investment case. Company results release

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Can investors calculate upside to $405?

Not from the information reported here: none of the cited sources establishes a contemporaneous Sherwin-Williams share price with a timestamp. Without a verified reference price, an upside percentage would be misleading. The $405 figure should be read as BMO’s reported target, not a promise, and it is not personalized investment advice.

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What to watch next

As of October 7, 2026, Sherwin-Williams’ investor-relations calendar scheduled the company’s third-quarter 2026 results for October 27, 2026. Those results had not yet been reported. Investor-relations events calendar The company had also announced a September 24 financial-community presentation, but the cited pages do not provide detailed presentation content. Presentation announcement

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