Yahoo Finance reported on October 3, 2026, that Bitcoin was trading near $85,000 on Friday, October 2, after a reported 43% quarterly rise. The report described a potentially more supportive near-term setup as investors anticipated the Federal Reserve would hold rates at its October meeting. That was a market expectation—not a Fed decision or a dependable forecast of Bitcoin’s next move.
Why did the report say Bitcoin was rising?
Yahoo Finance linked the market’s reaction to a weak September U.S. jobs report and reduced expectations for additional interest-rate hikes. The report said more than 75% of market participants expected policymakers to hold rates at the October meeting. That percentage is the article’s account of investor expectations; it does not establish the probability source or method, and it is not an announcement from the Federal Reserve.
The report also said Bitcoin rose 43% in the quarter, its strongest quarterly performance since 2024. Both the price near $85,000 and the quarterly gain are time-bound figures reported by Yahoo Finance, not independently verified price data or calculations here.
How could a Fed pause affect Bitcoin?
A pause in rate hikes could be interpreted as supportive for risk assets if investors believe borrowing conditions will not tighten further. But the article describes expectations and a market interpretation, not a confirmed causal link. A Fed hold would not guarantee that Bitcoin rises: the price can respond to many forces, and investors’ expectations can change before policymakers act.
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Do lower Treasury yields help Bitcoin?
Yahoo Finance cited falling two-year real yields as a possible source of support. Real yields adjust nominal yields for inflation; when short-term government debt offers a lower inflation-adjusted return, some investors may find it relatively less attractive than riskier assets such as Bitcoin. This is a market thesis, not a mechanical relationship or assurance that funds will move into crypto.
What does October seasonality add to the bullish case?
Sean Farrell, Fundstrat’s head of digital assets, told Yahoo Finance that October seasonality was becoming a tailwind. The report attributed to him the claim that October historically had crypto’s highest median and average returns and an approximately 80% win rate. The excerpt does not give the sample period, calculation method, or definition of a winning month, so those statistics should be treated as attributed historical claims—not a probability that Bitcoin will rise this October.
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What could undermine the setup?
Farrell also warned that continued stress in sovereign bonds and credit could trigger a short-term drawdown. The report’s “bullish direction” framing therefore includes a significant counterpoint: bond-market or credit stress may weigh on Bitcoin even if rate expectations and yields appear supportive. Farrell’s separate view that markets pricing in stress without Bitcoin breaking could improve forward risk/reward is an analyst interpretation, not evidence that a recovery will follow.
How should investors read the reported Citi forecast?
Yahoo Finance reported that Citi analyst Alex Saunders raised the bank’s Bitcoin base-case forecast to $113,000 from $82,000. The excerpt does not state the forecast horizon or assumptions. It is an attributed analyst target, not a guaranteed outcome or a substitute for an investor’s own assessment.
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What the “Chart of the Day” does—and does not—show
The headline captures a shift in market sentiment reported on October 3, 2026: investors were leaning toward an October Fed hold, and the cited analyst saw yields and seasonality as potential supports. It does not establish that the Fed will pause, that October performance patterns will repeat, or that Bitcoin’s price will keep rising. The figures and forecast above should be read within Yahoo Finance’s dated report and its stated limitations.
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