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Freedom251 › Blog › Bonds

Stocks vs. Bonds During a Market Correction: What Investors Should Know

By Freedom251 Team · · 4 min read

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Stocks can fall sharply during a market correction, and bonds do not automatically rise to offset the loss. Stocks generally offer greater long-term growth potential alongside greater volatility; bonds typically have more modest returns and lower volatility, but their prices can fall when interest rates rise or an issuer’s credit weakens. Whether to change your portfolio depends on your goals, time horizon and ability to tolerate losses—not on the word “correction” alone.

What stocks and bonds represent

A stock is an ownership interest in a company. Common shareholders may benefit if the business grows, but the company is not required to pay them a dividend. A bond is a debt obligation: the issuer borrows money and agrees to make specified interest and principal payments under the bond’s terms. In a corporate bankruptcy, bondholders generally have priority over shareholders, though that does not guarantee they will recover all they are owed. The SEC’s overview of stocks and its bond guide explain these basic distinctions.

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How stocks and bonds can behave in a correction

A correction is a decline in market prices; it does not mean every investment will fall by the same amount, or that one asset class is certain to outperform. Stocks have historically had the greatest risk and highest returns among the three major asset categories, according to the SEC. Bonds generally have lower volatility and more modest returns. These are broad historical tendencies, not guarantees about future performance or what will happen in a particular correction. The SEC notes that large-company stocks as a group have lost money on average about one out of every three years; that statistic describes average losses, not how often corrections happen or the chance stocks will lose in any specific year. SEC: Stocks.

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Stocks and bonds can also be affected by different forces. A company’s prospects and the prices investors are willing to pay affect its stock. A bond’s market price can react to interest rates, the issuer’s ability to pay, and supply and demand. So a bond allocation may diversify a portfolio, but it is not a guarantee that the portfolio will avoid losses when stocks decline.

Do bonds go up when stocks go down?

Not necessarily. Fixed-rate bond prices generally move in the opposite direction from market interest rates. If market rates rise, an existing bond with a lower fixed rate may become less attractive, so its market price can fall. That can happen while stocks are falling too. The SEC’s fixed-income guidance explains: “The longer the bond’s maturity, the greater the risk that the bond’s value could be impacted by changing interest rates prior to maturity, which may have a negative effect on the price of the bond.” SEC Investor Bulletin, “Fixed Income Investments — When Interest Rates Go Up, Prices of Fixed-Rate Bonds Fall” (June 26, 2013).

Rate sensitivity varies across bonds. In general, a longer-maturity bond is more exposed to interest-rate changes than a similar shorter-maturity bond, and coupon rate also matters. Credit risk is a separate concern: if an issuer’s financial condition deteriorates, investors may worry that it will not make payments, which can put pressure on the bond’s price. Higher-yield bonds carry more risk than higher-quality bonds; “bond” does not describe one uniform risk level.

Individual bonds and bond funds are not interchangeable

An individual bond has stated payment terms and a maturity date. If the issuer makes the promised payments and the investor holds the bond to maturity, interim price changes may matter less to the amount received at maturity. But holding to maturity does not remove default risk, and an investor who sells earlier may realize a gain or loss if the market price has changed.

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A bond mutual fund or ETF is different: it owns a portfolio of bonds, and its shares can fluctuate in value. Do not assume a bond fund has one individual bond’s maturity date or that its share price cannot fall. Review the fund prospectus to understand its holdings, risks and strategy. The SEC’s corporate-bond guidance discusses what bond-fund investors should review.

Should you sell stocks during a market correction?

A market decline by itself does not establish that selling is the right choice. Before making a change, consider whether your current allocation still fits the goal the money is meant to fund, when you expect to need it, and how much loss you can tolerate. Also identify why each holding is in the portfolio: selling stocks and buying bonds changes the portfolio’s growth potential and risks, rather than simply removing risk.

The SEC gives the example of an investor nearing a goal who may increase bonds relative to stocks because reducing risk can matter more than pursuing as much growth. That is an illustration of goal-based allocation, not a recommendation for every investor. SEC: Asset Allocation and Diversification.

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What diversification can—and cannot—do

Holding a mix of investments can reduce dependence on a single company or asset class. But diversification is risk management, not insurance: it cannot guarantee a profit or prevent losses during a market decline. The SEC says diversification may improve the chance of avoiding a loss or reduce its size compared with an undiversified portfolio, but a diversified portfolio can still lose value. SEC: Asset Allocation and Diversification.

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There is no correction-specific allocation that can be inferred from the fact that a decline has occurred. Instead, use the decline as a reason to review your intended allocation against your goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. General explanations of stocks, bonds and diversification cannot predict which will perform better in the next correction or determine the right mix for an individual investor.

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Bondsdiversificationinvestingmarket correctionRisk ToleranceStocks

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