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Freedom251 › Blog › 2008 financial crisis

How the 2008 Economic Crisis Changed the US’s Relationship to Energy

By Freedom251 Team · · 3 min read

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The 2008 crisis reshaped the US energy story in several ways: oil prices first surged and then plunged, energy use grew more slowly than earlier forecasts expected, and domestic oil and natural gas production began a major rise. Those shifts overlapped, but they had different causes. The recession weakened demand; drilling advances helped expand supply; and federal programs supported clean-energy projects.

Oil prices surged, then collapsed

In the first half of 2008, crude oil prices climbed sharply. The Federal Reserve reported that West Texas Intermediate (WTI) spot crude rose from about $92 per barrel in December 2007 to about $140 by July 2008, while weaker growth and high prices appeared to be damping demand in industrialized nations. The rise also reflected global supply conditions and strong demand in emerging markets, so it cannot be attributed to the US crisis alone. Federal Reserve, July 2008.

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By mid-July, WTI had exceeded $145 per barrel. It then fell about 75%, to near $40 per barrel in January 2009, as global economic activity and oil demand weakened. Federal Reserve, February 2009. The sequence matters: 2008 was not simply a year of cheaper energy. It brought a steep run-up followed by a rapid reversal.

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Recession slowed demand, while longer-term shifts also mattered

The downturn restrained energy demand, and slower economic growth after the crisis helps explain why US energy use came in below earlier projections. But the gap between forecasts and actual use was not solely a recession effect. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) says that actual US energy use stayed relatively flat from the mid-2000s despite population growth, with both slower-than-assumed growth following the crisis and longer-term movement toward less energy-intensive economic activity contributing to the difference. EIA, 2019.

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That is a comparison with past projections, not evidence that households abruptly changed their behavior in one particular way. The available figures do not isolate the crisis’s causal effect or provide a complete annual consumption series by sector.

Domestic production rose as shale became more economical

Demand weakness was only one part of the story. Around 2008, US oil and natural gas production began increasing as advances in horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing made shale resources more economical to produce. The Government Accountability Office identifies those technologies as enabling the increases; the production rise should not be treated as a consequence of falling demand. GAO, 2012.

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In a 2020 retrospective, EIA compared production changes since 2008 in energy units: crude oil increased by 15 quadrillion British thermal units (quads), dry natural gas by 14 quads, and natural gas plant liquids by 4 quads. Coal production, by contrast, fell 10 quads from its 2008 peak. These are cumulative changes since 2008, not annual growth rates. EIA also said fossil fuels accounted for about 80% of US energy production during the decade covered by that article—not necessarily the current share. EIA, 2020.

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Natural gas gained ground in electricity generation

Production changes also affected the power mix. Lower natural-gas prices encouraged utilities to switch some electricity generation from coal to gas, while coal output fell from its 2008 peak. This was an uneven transition rather than a wholesale move away from fossil fuels: the EIA’s decade-long account still put fossil fuels at about 80% of US energy production. EIA, 2020.

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Federal policy supported clean energy alongside market changes

Technology and market prices were not the only forces shaping the energy landscape. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 funded a range of clean-energy efforts. The Department of Energy says it invested more than $31 billion through the Recovery Act to support clean-energy projects, including varied programs rather than a single intervention. US Department of Energy.

That funding formed part of a broader policy setting. GAO describes federal tax incentives and other government actions as factors affecting energy production and consumption, alongside technological progress and market conditions. GAO, 2012. The Recovery Act investment is evidence of public support for clean-energy projects, not a measure of the crisis’s total effect on energy.

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What changed—and what did not

  • Prices: Oil moved from a sharp first-half 2008 rise to a steep decline by January 2009 as economic prospects and demand weakened.
  • Demand: The recession slowed energy use, while longer-run changes toward less energy-intensive activity also help explain why actual use fell short of previous forecasts.
  • Supply: US oil and natural gas production rose as drilling advances unlocked shale resources; this was a separate trend from recession-driven demand weakness.
  • Policy and power: Federal clean-energy funding joined market and technology shifts, while cheaper gas helped displace some coal generation.

The crisis changed the context in which Americans produced and used energy, but it did not single-handedly create every later shift. As the Federal Reserve put it in February 2009, “The U.S. economy weakened markedly in the second half of 2008 as the turmoil in financial markets intensified, credit conditions tightened further, and asset values continued to slump.” Federal Reserve, Monetary Policy Report, February 24, 2009.

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  • INSTALLS IN CIRCUIT PANEL of most homes with clamp-on sensors. Supports Single phase, Single-split phase, and 2-wire systems. 3-wire systems; 3-phase, 4-wire Wye systems with earthed (TN or TT) neutral (no-Delta) are supported with an additional 200A sensor (sold separately).
  • 24/7 ENERGY MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING: Automate, manage and control your home's real power anywhere, anytime to prevent costly repairs, conserve energy, and save costs. Monitor solar / net metering. PROTECTED BY A 1-YEAR WARRANTY.
  • LOWER YOUR ELECTRIC BILL: Configure settings in the Emporia Energy App to automate energy management for time of use, peak demand, excess solar, and rewards programs. You can even see live reporting and invaluable savings opportunities instantly. Gauge real-time spending and get actionable notifications and automated energy management to help you reduce costs.
  • REAL-TIME ENERGY DATA: REQUIRES 2.4 GHz WIFI WITH AN INTERNET CONNECTION to monitor energy use with iPhone / Android / Web app. Vue sensors collect energy data and are accurate from ±2%. The Vue is UL and CE Listed for your safety. 1 second data is only available in the app (when actively open) and retained 3 hours. Minute and hour data are retained in the cloud. 1 minute data is retained 7 days, 1 hour data is retained indefinitely. Export cloud data whenever you want in the app.

Product prices and availability are accurate as of the date/time indicated and are subject to change. Any price and availability information displayed on Amazon at the time of purchase will apply.

2008 financial crisisenergy policyoil pricesshale gasUS energy history

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