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DCN Warsaw 2026: Why Poland Deserves a Larger Share of Global Data-Centre Capacity

By Freedom251 Team · · 6 min read

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Yes—Poland has a credible case for a larger share of global data-centre capacity, with Warsaw as its primary hub. The city combines a central European location, strong connectivity, expanding cloud and AI demand, available development land and lower land and power costs than many FLAP-D markets, according to Cushman & Wakefield. The decisive limitation is electricity: projects need firm grid capacity, predictable prices and increasingly credible low-carbon supply.

That makes the opportunity real but conditional. Warsaw can keep attracting hyperscale, wholesale and AI workloads, while regional Polish cities absorb growth that the capital’s grid and land constraints cannot support.

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Why Warsaw is becoming a data-centre hub

Warsaw links Western Europe with Central and Eastern Europe, giving operators access to a large enterprise market and international network routes from one location. Poland’s economy is also undergoing the demand changes that typically support data-centre expansion. “Poland’s data centre market is driven by digitalisation, increased cloud adoption and AI integration,” said Kristina Lesnjak, senior consultant at DC Byte.

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Cushman & Wakefield identifies lower land and power costs than in many FLAP-D markets—Frankfurt, London, Amsterdam, Paris and Dublin—as another part of Warsaw’s proposition. Those advantages are site-specific rather than guaranteed: a parcel with no firm grid connection is not a viable data-centre site, regardless of its purchase price.

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The result is a market large enough to matter internationally but still capable of adding capacity faster than the most saturated Western European hubs.

How much data-centre capacity does Poland have?

Several current measurements describe different parts of the market, so they should not be treated as interchangeable. DC Byte reports Poland’s total market growing from 184 MW in 2020 to 481 MW in 2024, with most of the increase in Warsaw. A 2025 Polish Investment and Trade Agency (PAIH) and DC Byte assessment puts 2024 Polish supply at about 195 MW and take-up at about 152 MW. The difference reflects scope and methodology, including how market capacity and occupied capacity are counted.

Measure Figure Scope and date
Poland total market 184 MW 2020, DC Byte market history
Poland total market 481 MW 2024, DC Byte market history
Polish supply About 195 MW 2024, PAIH/DC Byte assessment published in 2025
Polish take-up About 152 MW 2024, PAIH/DC Byte assessment published in 2025
Warsaw operational capacity 176 MW H1 2024, Cushman & Wakefield
Warsaw capacity under construction or planned 81 MW H1 2024, Cushman & Wakefield
Warsaw facilities 28 across 17 operators H1 2024, Cushman & Wakefield
Warsaw colocation vacancy 9% H1 2024, Cushman & Wakefield

The 9% vacancy figure indicates that customers still had some colocation choice in H1 2024, while the 81 MW construction-and-planning pipeline shows that operators were already positioning for additional demand.

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What is Warsaw’s data-centre pipeline through 2031?

The European Data Centre Association forecasts Warsaw colocation IT power supply rising from 106 MW in 2024 to 329 MW in 2031, a 17.5% compound annual growth rate for 2024–2031. This is a forecast of colocation IT power supply, not a guarantee that every announced project will be energized on schedule.

Year Forecast Warsaw colocation IT power supply
2024 106 MW
2025 132 MW
2026 188 MW
2027 233 MW
2028 233 MW
2029 280 MW
2030 301 MW
2031 329 MW

The flat 2027–2028 point in the forecast is a reminder that growth is likely to arrive in stages rather than as a smooth annual increase. Grid connections, permits, construction schedules and customer commitments can all shift the date at which planned capacity becomes usable IT load.

Major investments show that demand is not theoretical

Microsoft’s Warsaw-area commitment

In 2025, Microsoft announced an investment of nearly PLN 3 billion in a Warsaw-area data centre and related AI infrastructure. The company said the investment was targeted for completion in 2026 and would primarily enhance Poland’s cybersecurity capabilities, according to the Chancellery of the Prime Minister of Poland. The announcement is a strong signal of hyperscale confidence, but its announced timetable should not be read as proof that the full capacity is already live.

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Switch WAW1

Switch Datacenters announced that its WAW1 project has 90 MW of licensed power, a 60 MW first-phase IT load and a design capable of exceeding 100 MW after expansion. The company describes the facility as offering wholesale colocation, connectivity and services for cloud adoption, AI initiatives, big-data analytics and other compute-intensive workloads. Licensed power and designed capacity indicate project potential; they are not the same as energized, customer-occupied IT load.

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Is Poland a good location for AI data centres?

Poland is a credible AI location when a project can secure high-density power, suitable cooling and reliable network access. AI training and inference clusters can require substantially more power per rack than conventional enterprise deployments, making the electrical design and cooling system central to site selection.

Atman advertises infrastructure supporting up to 80 kW per rack and liquid-cooling capabilities for high-density workloads. That demonstrates that the Polish ecosystem includes AI-ready options, but the advertised maximum is an operator-specific offering, not a national standard. Buyers should confirm the rack-density envelope, cooling method, redundancy, deployment lead time and the portion of the facility actually available for their workload.

  • Power density: verify committed kW per rack and total critical IT load, not only the building’s headline MW.
  • Cooling: establish whether direct-to-chip or other liquid cooling is supported, and whether it is available in the required halls.
  • Connectivity: check diverse carrier routes, cross-connect availability and latency to the cloud and enterprise systems the workload uses.
  • Deployment: distinguish operating space from reserved, licensed or future expansion capacity.

Will power shortages limit Poland’s growth?

Power availability is the binding constraint. The Polish Investment and Trade Agency states that “Energy availability is the dominant factor shaping data center location decisions.” A project can have demand, financing and land yet still be delayed if the transmission or distribution network cannot provide a firm connection.

Three power questions determine whether Warsaw’s pipeline turns into usable capacity:

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  1. Is the connection firm? Obtain the grid operator’s documented capacity, connection date and conditions, rather than relying on an indicative offer.
  2. Is the price predictable? Model long-term electricity exposure and the effect of volatility on a facility whose utilization may rise quickly with AI demand.
  3. Is the supply sufficiently low-carbon? Customers with emissions targets need auditable renewable procurement and realistic delivery arrangements, not only a sustainability statement.

Concentration around Warsaw also increases competition for land, transmission capacity and other infrastructure. As PAIH notes, resource pressure is likely to push some future development beyond the capital.

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Why regional Polish locations matter

Western Pomerania, Wielkopolskie and Pomorskie are among the regions that may capture incremental growth. A regional site can offer a better chance of securing power or land than a constrained Warsaw submarket, while still serving Polish and European customers through national and international networks.

The trade-off is that a site farther from Warsaw must prove its connectivity, workforce, permitting path, renewable-energy access and proximity to customers. A lower land price alone does not compensate for an uncertain grid connection or a network design that cannot deliver the required latency and resilience.

How to evaluate a Warsaw or regional site

Companies procuring “Warsaw data center colocation,” an AI-ready data centre in Poland or wholesale colocation should compare offers on the same operational basis:

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  • Committed and expandable IT megawatts, with energization dates and ramp schedule.
  • Grid-connection status, redundancy design and evidence of available utility capacity.
  • Power pricing structure, pass-through terms and renewable-energy options.
  • Rack-density limits, liquid-cooling support and usable white-space allocation.
  • Carrier diversity, cross-connect pricing, route resilience and latency to key systems.
  • Permitting status, construction milestones and the distinction between planned and live halls.
  • Customer mix and deployment model: retail colocation, wholesale suites, hyperscale campuses or dedicated AI clusters.
  • Expansion rights, land availability and the operator’s schedule for future phases.

These checks matter because headline MW figures can combine licensed power, planned phases and total facility design. Procurement decisions should be based on the portion that is contractually committed, connected and ready for the customer’s equipment.

What “a greater share” realistically means

Poland does not need to replicate the largest FLAP-D markets to become more important globally. A sustained rise from Warsaw’s established base, combined with credible regional campuses, would give international cloud, AI and enterprise customers another large European option. The evidence is already visible in the country’s market growth, Warsaw’s operating scale, Microsoft’s nearly PLN 3 billion commitment and the multi-phase WAW1 design.

The condition is infrastructure discipline. If grid access, predictable pricing and lower-carbon electricity keep pace with demand, Warsaw can anchor a broader Polish data-centre network. If they do not, announced capacity will remain a pipeline rather than usable supply, and growth will move to regions able to provide power sooner.

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AI infrastructureCloud ComputingColocationdata centersdata-center powerPolandWarsaw

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