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1Scan for outdated or missing drivers - takes under a minute2Clear out junk files and repair common Windows errors3Fix the driver behind crashes, sound loss and screen glitchesAs of CoinDesk’s October 5, 2026 report, Bitcoin was close to a bullish alignment of its 50-day, 100-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs), but the full signal had not yet formed. The 50-day SMA was above the 100-day, while the rising 100-day was nearing—but had not crossed—the 200-day. The setup is a trend indicator, not a forecast or a guarantee of gains.
What is the bullish signal?
The signal is a specific ordering of three simple moving averages: the 50-day above the 100-day, and the 100-day above the 200-day. In shorthand, that is 50-day > 100-day > 200-day. A moving average smooths price observations over its stated period. When a shorter average sits above a longer one, it indicates that prices over the shorter window have been stronger than those across the longer window; it does not establish that prices will keep rising.
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CoinDesk reported on October 5, 2026, that Bitcoin’s 50-day SMA was $79,495, its 100-day SMA was $79,493, and its 200-day SMA was $79,539. Those values put the 50-day just above the 100-day, with the 100-day rising and close to the 200-day. CoinDesk described the complete ordering as prospective, not confirmed. Its report said the last such alignment formed on June 24, 2025. These are dated figures from CoinDesk, not current market levels or an independent calculation. Read CoinDesk’s October 5, 2026 report.
What would the alignment tell investors?
If the averages complete the 50 > 100 > 200 order, it would show that recent price momentum is stronger than the momentum reflected in the longer averaging periods. That can strengthen a trend-based interpretation of the market, but it is a description of price history—not a prediction of the next move.
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Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus, told CoinDesk: “The crossover strengthens the trend case, but it does not guarantee its continuation.” The distinction matters: a chart can show improving momentum even if the price later stalls or falls.
What happened after earlier alignments?
CoinDesk’s October 2026 report cited historical examples with very different outcomes. These are selected episodes, not a systematic backtest, and they do not show that the moving-average alignment caused the subsequent price changes.
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| Historical episode | Bitcoin price movement cited by CoinDesk in 2026 |
|---|---|
| 2020–2021 alignment | About $13,600 on October 27, 2020, to above $64,000 by May 2021. |
| 2023–2024 alignment | Roughly $35,000 in early November 2023 to $73,000 by May 2024. |
| June 2025 alignment | About $106,000 to $112,000 over 97 days. |
| June 2024 setup | The setup lasted 20 days before Bitcoin declined about 10%. |
CoinDesk also said Bitcoin gained more than 40% to $87,000 during the third quarter referenced in its October 5 article, while the rally had recently stalled around $85,000. Those are publication-context figures, not present-day prices. Taken together, the examples include large rallies, a modest gain and a decline; the signal has not produced one uniform outcome.
What should traders watch next?
Subburaj identified the practical follow-up as price behavior during a correction: “The more consequential test is whether Bitcoin can hold the 50-day average during a correction,” he told CoinDesk. In other words, the average alignment alone is not the whole story. A pullback tests whether buyers continue to support price near the shorter-term trend measure.
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- Check whether the full order has formed: the October 5 report said the 100-day had not yet moved above the 200-day.
- Watch the 50-day during a correction: whether spot Bitcoin holds above it is the test Subburaj singled out.
- Keep the signal in perspective: moving averages summarize past prices and can lag a fast change in market direction.
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