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Azerbaijan

Aliyev Says the U.S. and China Are the Only Two Superpowers as Azerbaijan Expands Its Energy Role

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At the New Azerbaijan Party’s congress in Baku on October 2, 2026, President Ilham Aliyev called the United States and China the world’s only two superpowers and presented Azerbaijan as a strategic partner to both. He used the same speech to describe the country’s energy exports, processing capacity and transport ambitions. Those figures and forecasts are Aliyev’s claims, not independently verified results.

What Aliyev said about the United States and China

Speaking as president and chairman of the New Azerbaijan Party at its 8th congress at Baku’s Heydar Aliyev Center, Aliyev said Azerbaijan had recently established strategic partnership relations with China and the United States. He referred to a comprehensive strategic partnership declaration with China and a Strategic Charter with the United States, then said: “These are the world’s two superpowers; there is no third.” He added that Azerbaijan was a strategic partner to both.

The “only two” formulation is Aliyev’s political assessment, not an uncontested academic or official consensus about the distribution of global power. The official presidential account establishes what he said and when; it does not make that characterization an independently measured conclusion. Official speech and congress account.

How he linked diplomacy to energy

Aliyev presented energy as part of Azerbaijan’s strategic importance. He said the country produces and exports crude oil, petroleum products, natural gas, electricity, petrochemical products and fertilizers. He also said other countries were seeking Azerbaijani petroleum products, and argued that energy was becoming a greater geopolitical and security factor.

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Those remarks describe the case Aliyev made for Azerbaijan’s relevance. The speech does not independently establish the scale of demand, verify each export category, or demonstrate how the energy trade will affect geopolitical or security outcomes.

What the energy and transit figures mean

The numbers below are figures Aliyev cited at the congress in 2026. Their status matters: capacity is not the same as output, and an expectation or target is not a completed result.

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Claim What Aliyev said How to read it
EU partnerships He said Azerbaijan had strategic partnership formats with 10 EU member states. A figure from his speech; the cited passage does not list the states or define the formats.
Petroleum-products capacity He described potential capacity of 30 million tons: 7 million tons processed at a refinery in Azerbaijan and 23 million tons processed abroad. He did not specify the measurement period or methodology in the cited passage. This is a capacity claim, not a reported quantity of current exports or actual production.
Additional natural gas He said a contract signed “last month” would provide an additional 5 billion cubic meters of gas. The passage does not identify the counterparties or explain the time basis for the volume, so it cannot establish the contract’s terms or delivery schedule.
Transit cargo in 2026 He expected transit cargo to reach 16 million tons in 2026. This was a forecast at the time of the speech, not a confirmed year-end total.
Medium-term transit goal He set a goal of 30 million tons of transit cargo. This is a target, not an achieved volume; the cited passage does not specify a deadline.

Production increases remain a forecast

Aliyev said contracts involving new production, including oil fields acquired abroad, would help stabilize or increase output while the Azeri-Chirag-Gunashli field experiences natural production decline. The speech does not identify those contracts in enough detail to assess their terms or independently confirm their expected effect. His statement should therefore be understood as a forecast, not evidence that production has already stabilized or risen.

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What the speech establishes—and what it does not

The presidential website is a primary source for the congress date, venue, speaker, wording and figures Aliyev chose to present. It is not an independent audit of refining capacity, a copy of the referenced gas contract, or confirmation that future production and transit targets will be met. The distinction is central to reading the address: Aliyev’s argument joins diplomatic partnerships to energy and transit ambitions, while several of the supporting figures describe capacity, expectations or goals rather than verified outcomes.

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Read the full speech on the official website of the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan.

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